Chinese economy grows slowest in 13 yrs

Last Updated: Fri, Jan 18, 2013 20:21 hrs

China's economy grew at its slowest pace in 13 years in 2012, though a year-end spurt supported by infrastructure spending and a jump in trade signalled the foundation for the stable growth path Beijing says is vital for economic reform may be in sight.

Evidence of a burgeoning recovery in exports, stronger than expected industrial output and retail sales, together with robust fixed asset investment, all indicated that Beijing's pro-growth policy mix has gained sufficient traction to underpin a revival without yet igniting inflationary risks.

Year-on-year growth of 7.9 per cent in the fourth quarter beat a consensus forecast of 7.8 per cent in a Reuters poll and snapped a streak of seven consecutive quarters of slowdown.

The performance was at the upper end of the 7-8 per cent rate economists reckon is needed to deliver on reforms essential to China's long-term development after three decades of red-hot, double-digit growth.

Full year growth of 7.8 per cent was also just ahead of the poll's 7.7 per cent call and, although the weakest since 1999, comfortably ahead of the government's 7.5 per cent target, which just months ago seemed to some economists to be in jeopardy.

Market reaction was generally upbeat, with Asian shares advancing and platinum and palladium following suit.

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