Week Ahead: Market to see cautious trades

Last Updated: Sun, Nov 18, 2012 06:10 hrs

The market, which ended on a dismal note last week, is likely to see more weak spells in the coming week, as concerns about U.S. fiscal cliff and worries about Indian economy will continue to hurt sentiment and force the bulls to stay away on the sidelines.

Inflation declined a bit, but it still remains at quite uncomfortable levels. The Reserve Bank of India Governor's statement to that effect on Friday, raised doubts about a rate cut early next year and resulted in a sell-off in rate sensitive banking, automobile and realty stocks.

A rather tepid industrial output data and widening trade deficit are other areas of concern. The political sceneario is not encouraging as well. Under such circumstances, a significant turnaround in the near future is extremely unlikely.

The trend may continue next week as well. Though some bargain hunting is not ruled out, a sustained upmove will remain elusive. The reporting season is over and there are no big positive triggers in sight to warrant any strong buying. Investors will be looking for some stock specific stories to place a few bets.

The U.S. markets ended with modest gains on Friday amid expectations that the government will manage to come out with a constructive plan to fix the looming fiscal cliff.

Asian markets may open on a cautious but slightly positive note on Monday. The mood back home is also likey to be quite cautious. The rupee's movements against the greenback will be eyed. Investors will be looking for some positive announcements from the government on the reforms front.

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