Gold futures to fall past one-month low

Last Updated: Mon, May 20, 2013 07:27 hrs

Gold futures in India are likely to fall past their lowest level in a month, weighed by expectations of a strong dollar, dimming the yellow metal's appeal as an alternative investment.

At 12.22 p.m., the actively traded gold for June delivery on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) was 1.61 percent lower at 25,420 rupees per 10 grams. It earlier dropped to 25,373 rupees, a level last seen on April 18.

"The trend will continue to be bearish. There is critical support around 24,250-24,500 rupees and we could see some consolidation," said Kishore Narne, director with Motilal Oswal Commodities Broker.

Gold futures have shed about 22 percent after hitting a peak of 32,464 rupees in November last year. "Any rallies should be an exit point for short positions and better to exit longs," said Narne.

U.S. consumer sentiment hit a near six-year high in May, showing Americans are feeling better about their financial and economic prospects, dimming the yellow metal's appeal as a safe haven investment.

Positive numbers from the U.S. and positive global equities, together with a strong dollar could weigh on prices, said Narne. Dollar and gold often move in opposite directions as they compete for funds globally.

Slack domestic demand could also weigh. Gold imports into India, the world's biggest buyer of the metal, have been halted after the central bank's restrictions on consignment imports came into play.

Silver for July delivery on the MCX was 4.03 percent lower at 40,911 rupees per kilogram, after hitting a low of 40,749 rupees, a level last seen in November 2011.

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