* USD/INR ends 53.0450/0550 vs 52.72/73 previous close
* S&P warns rating cut risks remains despite current reforms
* Rupee falls for 4th successive session
By Subhadip Sircar
MUMBAI, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee fell to its
lowest in two weeks on Wednesday, tracking gains in the global
dollar and after rating agency Standard & Poor's said downgrade
risks remained even after the current spate of reforms.
The fall in the rupee, exacerbated by the S&P warning, again
highlighted the local currency's vulnerability to its twin
deficits - the external account as well as the fiscal deficit.
S&P reiterated that India still faced a one-in-three chance
of a credit rating downgrade within the next 24 months, adding
that a downgrade was possible if external position deteriorates,
political climate worsens, or fiscal reforms slow.
"I do not expect any sharp gains in the rupee as foreign
fund inflows into stocks seem to have slowed in the past few
sessions. Reform measures have not resulted in any real flows,"
said Param Sharma, director and chief executive at NSP Treasury
He expects the rupee to further weaken to 53.50 to the
dollar and trade in a 52-54 band for the next 2-3 months.
The rupee was further weighed down by gains in the global
dollar versus its currency basket and the euro as concerns about
company earnings being hit by weak global growth hurt equities
and drove investors into safer currencies.
The partially convertible rupee closed at
53.0450/0550 per dollar versus its previous close of 52.72/73, a
fourth successive session of fall and its longest losing streak
since late July.
It earlier hit a session low of 53.1850, its lowest since
Dealers said dollar buying by state-run refiners and weak
local stocks have contributed to the weakness in rupee.
The benchmark index ended down 0.86 percent.
The rupee had been on a roll, gaining for five straight
weeks until Friday, rising 7.1 percent on the back of India's
slew of fiscal and economic reforms and stimulus measures from
global central banks.
Dealers are also waiting to watch whether the central bank
buys dollars to replenish its forex reserves and reduce its
forward liabilities which stood at $14.5 billion.
The one-month non-deliverable offshore contract
was trading at 53.23 while the three-month
was at 53.72.
In the currency futures market, the most-traded near-month
dollar/rupee contracts on the National Stock Exchange, the
MCX-SX and the United Stock Exchange all closed at around 53.17
with a total traded volume of about $6.7 billion.
(Editing by Anand Basu)