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Indian rupee hits four-month peak as shares hit record

Source : REUTERS
Last Updated: Mon, Dec 09, 2013 12:02 hrs

* Rupee ends at 61.13/14 per dlr vs 61.41/42 on Fri

* Global cues to be monitored for near-term direction

By Swati Bhat

MUMBAI, Dec 9 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee rose to a four-month high on Monday, boosted by record-high stockmarkets after the main opposition party, widely seen by investors as being more business friendly, swept three out of five key state elections held since last month.

The results were seen bolstering chances of the Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi in general elections due by May, and were widely seen as a blow to the ruling Congress Party.

Continued gains in share markets could further lure foreign investors, with overseas net inflows into stocks already past $18 billion so far this year.

Still, traders urged caution given the continued prospect of the U.S. Federal Reserve soon tapering its monetary stimulus. The Reserve Bank of India could also raise interest rates for a third time this year next week, delivering a blow to shares.

Other lingering uncertainties include the volatility in oil prices, a big factor in India given the country imports most of its crude needs.

"The market is in euphoria over the BJP's victory," said Vikas Babu Chittiprolu, a senior foreign exchange dealer with state-run Andhra Bank.

"The market is ignoring the potential outflows for Iran oil and strong U.S. data and a potential Fed taper on Dec. 18. I am sceptical about selling dollars here but going by the force of the market we can sell dollars for the very near-term," he added.

The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.13/14 per dollar compared with 61.41/42 on Friday. The unit rose as high as 60.84 at open, its strongest since Aug. 12.

Traders said good dollar demand from importers including oil companies was seen at stronger rupee levels, limiting any further gains.

Gains in other Asian currencies further aided the rupee. For a snapshot of Asian FX see:

Traders will now continue to monitor global cues for near-term direction.

In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month contract was at 61.46, while the three-month was at 62.32.

FACTORS TO WATCH * U.S., Chinese data lift euro, hit dollar and yen * Baht off high on sustained Thai protests, won up * Asian shares advance on China trade, falling yen * Foreign institutional investor flows * For data on currency futures

DIARIES & DATA: Indian Data Watch European diary Indian diary US Diary (Editing by Gopakumar Warrier and Prateek Chatterjee)




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