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Markets Weekahead - Industrial output key for Indian debt/FX

Source : REUTERS
Last Updated: Sat, Aug 04, 2012 04:13 hrs
BSE Sensex rises in choppy trade

Reuters Market Eye - Indian bond and FX markets will take their opening cues for the week from U.S. non-farm payrolls data due on Friday, which will help cement expectations for monetary stimulus from the Fed.

Domestically, the industrial production data on Thursday will be key, though it won't be a major market mover unless the number is a big negative or positive surprise given its volatile nature.

The summer drought is also weighing on sentiment, sparking worries it could hit rural consumption and delay any potential fiscal measures from the government, such as a hike in diesel prices.

Worries the RBI will delay cuts in interest rates could also weigh after the central bank kept rates on hold on July 31.

The benchmark 10-year bond yield is seen trading in a 8.22-8.32 percent range for the week.

The rupee is expected to hold in a 55 to 56/dollar range, though global risk factors will be key.

Traders see the rupee strengthening towards 54.50 if hopes for QE3 from the Fed grow.

(swati.bhat@thomsonreuters.com/; swati.bhat.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net)




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