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Weak India performance weighs on StanChart results

Source : REUTERS
Last Updated: Wed, Nov 02, 2011 17:04 hrs
Weak India performance weighs on StanChart results

Standard Chartered Plc said its income should grow by at least 10 percent this year to put it on track for a ninth straight year of record earnings, although problems in India saw growth slow in the latest quarter.

A further slowdown in India, where the bank said conditions are likely to stay difficult for the medium-term, showed the Asia-focused bank is not immune from economic wobbles, although its performance was proving resilient, analysts said.

Other markets are taking up most of any slack and the bank has added between 700 and 800 jobs this year as rivals cut staff. It said it is winning business from western rivals who are retreating.

By 1015 GMT StanChart's London-listed shares were down 3 percent at 13.95 pounds, cutting its value to $53 billion and lagging a 0.4 percent dip in the European bank sector.

Analysts blamed the fall on income growth slowing to a "high single digit" percent in the first nine months of the year from more than 10 percent in the first half.

The bank said it expects full-year growth to return to over 10 percent, but the guidance implied growth was 5 percent or less in the third quarter, according to Alex Potter, analyst at Berenberg Bank.

StanChart's update came on the same day as lenders Westpac Banking Corp of Australia and DBS Group of Singapore posted strong earnings, signalling banks which are focused on Asia and which have refrained from overly risky bets were still able to post growth.

The London-headquartered bank, which makes more than 80 percent of its earnings in Asia and other emerging markets, did not give specific figures as it is only required to report those on a bi-annual basis.

"StanChart has a strong balance sheet and no exposure to the trouble European countries, which I think is very reassuring to investors," said Dominic Chan, an analyst at BNP Paribas in Hong Kong. "Overall ... it was a very reassuring set of earnings."

INDIA WOES

Income in India, which overtook Hong Kong as Standard Chartered's biggest profit contributor last year, fell by about 14 percent in the first nine months, compared with a 12 percent decline in the first half. Indian earnings fell almost 40 percent in the first half.

"The slowdown is now more of a medium-term issue," said Richard Meddings, finance director, saying it was due to government probes dampening investment appetite and interest rate rises.

"You've got politics inquiring into licensing in some big sectors that causes higher political risk in investment, and you've separately got an economy that is growing strongly but also has high inflation where the authorities are taking robust action," Meddings told reporters on a conference call.

South Korea, which was hit by a labour dispute earlier this year, was also muted, but Singapore and Hong Kong continued to perform strongly as a more difficult macroeconomic backdrop had not had a major impact on its markets, Meddings said.

The bank is expected to report pretax profit of $6.7 billion for this year, up 12 percent on 2010, according to a poll of 26 analysts by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

Its Hong Kong-listed shares are down about 15 percent this year, versus a 16 percent decline in the benchmark Hang Seng Index. Its London shares are down 19 percent over the same period, versus a 32 percent fall by European peers.

Meddings said he expected the bank to add about a net 1,000 staff this year, in line with previous guidance and in contrast to other lenders that have recently said they are culling.

Credit Suisse Group AG for instance said on Tuesday it would cut 1,500 jobs and scale back on its capital-guzzling investment banking business, while rival HSBC said in August it would remove 30,000 job roles by cutting out some middle management.

Japan's top brokerage Nomura is cutting an additional 700 jobs, mostly in Europe, a source said.

Problems of high staff and overheads drove costs at Standard Chartered's investment banking operations, which fall under its wholesale banking division, higher than income growth, known as a "negative jaws" effect. Group costs rose less than the income growth, and expenses in the third quarter were similar to trends seen in the first half.

"When you look at StanChart and compare it to the banks in Europe that are talking about trading income collapsing, I think it's done a fantastic job," said Chan at BNP Paribas. "'Negative jaws' in its wholesale banking department is a small issue compared to some of the problems its rivals are facing."

The bank said it did not have any direct sovereign exposure to Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece or Spain and its exposure to Europe as a whole was immaterial.




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