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Weekahead: RBI review, earnings key for shares

Source : REUTERS
Last Updated: Sun, Oct 28, 2012 09:24 hrs
A broker monitors share prices at a brokerage firm in Mumbai

The RBI policy review on Tuesday will be key in determining the direction for shares.

Most analysts polled by Reuters say the RBI is unlikely to lower key interest rate as inflation remains sticky, but may opt to cut the amount of deposits lenders must keep with the central bank.

A cut in the repo rate has the potential to spark gains in shares, which have consolidated this month with the BSE index  down 0.7 percent in October, after the government's fiscal and economic reforms sparked a rally in September.

Sectors benefiting from rate cut such as property and autos will also be in focus as a favorable decision by the RBI could bolster demand for big ticket items ahead of the Diwali in mid-November.

By contrast, a cut in the cash reserve ratio could boost bank shares given lenders do not earn interest from the deposits held at the RBI.

Earnings will remain a focus, with earnings broadly well received, despite disappointment in some sectors, such as state-run lenders.

KEY EVENTS

Sunday: Possible reshuffle in cabinet; JSW Steel earnings

Monday: BHEL earnings, RBI macro-economic report on the economy (1700 IST)

Tuesday: Key earnings: Maruti Suzuki India, Glenmark Pharma, Dr. Reddy's Laboratories , Biocon; RBI policy decision (1100 IST)

Wednesday: Fiscal deficit data, infrastructure output data

Thursday: HSBC manufacturing PMI for October (1030 IST)

Friday: Wipro earnings; bank credit and forex reserves data.


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