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Exit polls predict sweep for Jaya & Didi; Left out in the cold

Source : SIFY
Last Updated: Wed, May 11, 2011 12:45 hrs
West Bengal election <br>

Chennai: Exit polls conducted by various TV channels projected a win for Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress in West Bengal, the UDF in Kerala, the AIADMK in Tamil Nadu and a return to power for Congress in Assam.


West Bengal


The post-poll surveys conducted by Headlines Today-ORG, CNN-IBN-The Week-CSDS and Star Ananda-Nielsen all suggested that the Trinamool Congress-Congress combine would get two-thirds majority, winning 210 to 220 seats out of a total 294 seats in the state assembly.

Headlines Today-ORG gave TC anywhere between 210 and 220 seats, and predicted just 65 to 70 seats for the Communist Party of India-Marxist-led Left Front. The survey gives 10 to 15 seats to independents and other parties.

The CNN-IBN-The Week-CSDS predicts that TC would get between 222 to 234 seats, while the Left Front would get between 60 to 72 seats.



The Star Ananda-Nielsen poll suggests that Trinamool would get 225 seats and the Left would get 60, with the BJP getting three seats and the rest getting the remaining six seats.

An exit poll conducted by Star TV predicts that TC would get 215 seats, while the Left and Others get 74 and 5 respectively.

If these predictions turn out correct, then it would mark the end of a 34-year-long Left-rule in West Bengal.


Kerala

In Kerala, however, the post-poll surveys were a little more divided and a lot less unanimous in their prediction of a winner.

CNN-IBN-The Week-CSDS polls said that LDF would win between 69 and 77 seats while the UDF would rack-up between 63 and 71 seats out of the 140 seats in the Kerala assembly.

Headlines Today-ORG predicts that the UDF would win between 85 and 92 seats and the LDF would only get between 48 and 55.

Star News projects a clear win for the Congress-led UDF. It says the UDF will win 88 seats while the CPM-led LDF would win only 49.

A poll done by Asianet-C-Fore says the UDF would win between 72 and 82 seats while the LDF would win between 58 and 68 seats.


But the Malayala Manorama-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies survey predicts that the LDF will return to power with 69 to 77 seats, while The UDF would fall just short with 63 to 71 seats. And the BJP would get six percent of vote share.



Tamil Nadu


Opinions were also divided in Tamil Nadu but most of the polls lean towards an AIADMK-victory.

Exit polls, conducted by, indicate that the DMK and its allies will lose a six per cent of its vote share in Tamil Nadu while the AIADMK and its allies stand to gain over four per cent of the vote share.

Exit polls conducted by CVB News-C-Voter say the AIADMK is expected to win between168 and 176 seats while the DMK and its allies will get between 54 and 62.

Headlines Today-ORG leaned towards a DMK victory. The survey predicts that the DMK-led alliance would bag between 115 and 130 seats in the 234-seat assembly, while the opposition AIADMK-led alliance may get between 105 and 120 seats.

The CNN-IBN-The Week-CSDS poll however tips AIADMK to oust the ruling DMK government. The survey says AIADMK would bag between 120 and 132 seats while DMK would get between 102 and 114.



Assam

Divergent results were also predicted in Assam with the exit polls favouring a return to power for the Tarun Gogoi-led Congress government.

The CNN-IBN-The Week-CSDS poll is the only one that projects a clear winner, predicting between 64 and 72 seats for the Congress in the 126-member assembly.

The Headlines Today-ORG survey predicted a hung Assembly in the state, with the Congress getting 41 to 47 seats, the Asom Gana Parishad 31 to 35 seats, the BJP 16-18 seats and the AIUDF 13-15 seats.

The Headlines Today-ORG survey predicted a hung Assembly in the state, with the Congress getting 41 to 47 seats, the Asom Gana Parishad 31 to 35 seats, the BJP 16-18 seats and the AIUDF 13-15 seats.

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